Bet Quality Check

Every answer is classified as satisfied, a blocker or a warning. The result is the most serious blocker present, in this order:

1. PASS / DO NOT FORCE IT — chasing earlier losses, betting only for action, or the price has moved past your number.
2. RISK CHECK NEEDED — you are not within your own risk limit.
3. PRICE / EDGE INCOMPLETE — no fair number, or the exact price is unknown.
4. WAIT FOR INFORMATION — availability / starters not confirmed, or information not current.
5. READY FOR YOUR REVIEW — no blockers. Warnings are still listed.

Blockers: Do you have your own fair number (price or probability) for this bet · Is the exact market price (line and odds) known · Is the current price still acceptable against your number · Is player / team availability confirmed · Is the starting lineup / QB / pitcher / goalie (relevant personnel) confirmed · Is your information current · Are you within your own risk limit · Are you increasing the wager because of earlier losses · Are you betting because you need action.

Warnings (never block): Have you checked the implied probability of that price · Have you removed the vig / checked the fair market probability · Do you understand why your number differs from the market · Have you reviewed how the market has moved · Have you checked weather / venue (outdoor sports) · Have you identified the strongest argument against the bet.

The checklist never approves a bet. Nothing you answer is sent or stored.